Ghana's Electoral
Commission has proven robust in trying circumstances in the past. But the
coming elections this December may test its capabilities like never before.
A re-drawing of
constituency boundaries has provoked cries of foul play and, although lauded in
the past for impartiality, the electoral commission faces difficult challenges
The commission's
chairman, Kwadwo Afari-Gyan, has previously been widely praised for his
integrity and steeliness. Indeed, he had planned to retire after the 2008
election but was persuaded to stay on.
In the build up to
polling day, one issue is dominating above all else - the electoral
commission's introduction of 45 new constituencies. In theory, the rationale
behind this is simple. The commission has full constitutional authority to
alter constituency boundaries after an appropriate review, and the new boundaries,
while not perfect, aim to equalise the population size of different
constituencies.
However, the
constituency review has been widely challenged, with the most compelling
criticism focussing on its timing. It was only at the start of October that
parliament - by an 81-56 margin, with a large number of MPs abstaining -
confirmed the parliamentary elections will be fought on 275 constituencies, up
from 230. As opponents have pointed out, it is almost unprecedented for changes
in electoral rules to occur so close to election dates unless dishonourable
motives are at work. We need only look back to Kenya's 2007 elections and the
disruption within the Kenyan Electoral Commission in the months before the vote
for such an example.
But is such criticism
fair in the case of Ghana? Afari-Gyan, after all, has displayed his commitment
to democracy over 20 years; a 'rigger' he is not. But it does seem true that,
as is the common complaint, he has become increasingly obstinate and unwilling
to listen to constructive criticism. Even if the motivation behind the creation
of 45 new constituencies is above question, the same is not true of the
implementation and presentation of the policy.
From a purely
practical point of view, for example, the timing has been challenging for
parties who must develop the organisational capacity - and in some cases, find
suitable candidates - in time to fight an additional 45 seats.
Particularly
worryingly, however, has been the fact that the reaction to Afari-Gyan's plans
has been profoundly polarised along party lines. While the ruling National
Democratic Congress (NDC) has largely supported the redrawing of constituency
boundaries, the opposition New Patriotic Party (NPP) have not been shy to cry
'gerrymandering'.
At a press conference
last month, Afari-Gyan addressed concerns, speaking for three hours in which he
emphasised that the commission had done more preparation for the constituency
changes than they are normally afforded credit for. His reassurances appear to
have worked to an extent.
It is fortunate he has
developed such a bank of goodwill due to his shrewd and impartial handling of
previous elections. Without this to fall back upon, allegations would have been
taken more seriously, and the attitude of the NPP towards the changes may have
moved from opposition to outright confrontation. As it is, there remains the
sense that the election should still fundamentally pass as normal; the NPP's
decision to contest all 275 constituencies, rather than boycott the newly
created 45, is highly encouraging.
Also promising is that
the electoral commission has gained attention not only for its controversial
constituency re-drawings, but also for its new text service. In a bid to ensure
the voter register is as accurate as possible, the commission launched a system
whereby voters can text in and, for 1 Ghanaian cedi ($0.40) check whether their
voting details are correctly logged.
Some who used the service
complained to Think Africa Press that the text confirmation was slow or had not
come at all, and others criticised the fact the service stops almost three
months prior to the election, but programme nevertheless marks a useful - if
currently imperfect - innovation.
So where does this
leave the race? The US Ambassador to Ghana recently spoke of how the Ghanaian
elections would "mirror" those of the United States. Although he was
referring to the freedom to vote, his words could also have concerned the political
context of the elections. For, rather like in the US, Ghana's incumbent is on
course to win a close election despite an economic record criticised by many.
Of course, the comparisons are far from perfect - least of all the fact that
the Ghana's president, John Mahama, has only been in office since John Atta
Mills passed away in July.
It is widely
acknowledged that Mills' death has increased the chances of the NDC retaining
control of the presidency. As well as the potential phenomenon of the sympathy
vote that is well-known to political analysts, Mills' death may also have
damaged challenger Nana Akufo-Addo by drawing attention to his age.
Aged 68, Akufo-Addo
was actually born a few months before the late Mills, and would be almost 77 by
the time he completed two presidential terms. That Mahama is almost 15 years
younger allows him to present himself simultaneously as a youthful,
anti-establishment challenger - especially considering Akufo-Addo has family
ties to three of the "big six" founding fathers of the nation - as
well as the respected incumbent. It could well prove to be an effective - if
slightly paradoxical, especially given that Mahama's father was an MP -
election-winning mix.
One intriguing
possibility is that the presidential and parliamentary elections will be won by
different parties. But rather than leading to American-style paralysis, such an
outcome could prove beneficial in Ghana. Differences between the two main
parties do exist but arguments tend to be based on matters of competence rather
than ideology.
Moreover, a common
criticism of both the ruling NDC government and the 2001-09 NPP government that
preceded it was that too much time was spent investigating corruption charges
of their predecessors. 'Cohabitation' might present a challenge in the fight
against corruption, but could lead to a higher quality of governance.
But that is for later.
For now, Ghanaians are more concerned that the election passes peacefully.
After the experience of 2008, there is ample room for cautious optimism - but
the electoral commission and both parties must work together to ensure Ghana's
status as an African success story can be maintained.
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